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Reducing the Risk of Investment-Based Social Security Reform
National Bureau of Economic Research [NBER] 
Feb. 8, 2005
Excerpt: This paper describes the risks implied by a mixed system of Social Security pension benefits with different combinations of pay-as-you-go taxes and personal retirement account (PRA) saving. The analysis shows how these risks can be reduced by using alternative private market guarantee strategies. The first such strategy uses a blend of equities and TIPS to guarantee at least a positive real rate or return on each year's PRA saving.
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